Our business drivers and markets Banner image

Our business drivers and markets

Macro and structural trends influence our capital allocation

Business drivers

Business drivers

Macro and structural trends continue to dictate the investment Backdrop for real estate.

Geopolitical & economic

The global economy outlook remains highly uncertain, with elevated geopolitical risk. The conflict in the Middle East has renewed volatility in energy markets and inflationary pressures, pushing bond yields and swap rates materially higher. 

The latest uncertainty has prolonged the reduced liquidity in real estate markets, particularly for larger lot sizes. 

- 41 %

Real estate investment activity in Q1 2026 v 5 year average

Technology

Technology continues to reshape consumer behaviour in how we work, shop and live with profound consequences for real estate.

Adoption of online shopping continues its upward trajectory increasing demand for logistics warehousing to store, move and manufacture goods. As consumer expectations rise for faster delivery, so the need for better urban logistics increases.

Data centres also offer growth prospects but remain a complex sector with availability of power a major constraint. Operational retail property has suffered as consumers pivot further towards an omnichannel model, resulting in significant value erosion across many part of physical retail. Offices are also impacted by technological disruption as well as other headwinds such as accelerating obsolescence, changing occupier preferences, rising sustainability costs and shortening leases.

+ 4.5 %

UK online sales growth expected in 2025

Value & quality

Consumers increasingly value time, prioritise experiences over material goods and seek better quality healthcare. Real estate aligned to these trends is structurally well supported.

Convenience retail benefits from demand for better value and more convenient store formats. Supported by lower online penetration in food, smaller format convenience grocery stores are seeing particularly strong growth.

Hospitality and entertainment operators are benefiting from economic and generational shifts towards staycations and experiences, supporting demand for budget hotels and theme parks. Healthcare is underpinned by strong demand from an ageing and growing population.

+ 7 %

Growth in M&S food sales in 2025/26 (like for like)

Demographics and urbanisation

The UK population is projected to increase by 7% from 2022 to 2032 and see a rise in ageing population. This is providing structural tailwinds for sectors that service retirees, including healthcare, as well as increasing the need for housing and efficient urban infrastructure, particularly urban logistics warehousing.

+ 14 %

Growth in people of pensionable age

Our Markets

Structural tailwinds are providing strong support for logistics, convenience, private healthcare, hospitality and experiences.

Logistics

Logistics

The structural tailwinds for the logistic sector remain strong, namely continued online sales growth, reshoring activities, rewiring of supply chains and warehouse automation.​

We continue to believe that urban logistics remains the most attractive sub sector of logistics and has the greatest demand/supply tension and rental growth potential. ​

Convenience

Convenience

The store network remains integral to retail. Well located, fit for purpose, right sized and right rented properties let to grocers, discounters, home and DIY operators continue to be attractive.​

​These occupiers have resilient business models that are less exposed to the migration of shopping online offering essential goods and omni-channel optionality in a convenient format.

Entertainment & leisure

Entertainment & leisure

Entertainment & leisure is benefiting from the trend towards experiences, the recovery in international travel and consumer preferences for staycations given household financial pressures. ​

UK hotels have seen a strong recovery since the pandemic and see favourable dynamics following years of supply contraction. Visitor attraction operators, including theme parks, have also benefitted as consumers prioritise experiences over things.​

Alt for healthcare

Healthcare

Healthcare is underpinned by an ageing and growing population as well as improvements in technology.​

UK private hospitals are particularly well placed as they are increasingly utilised to address growing NHS waiting lists and the strong growth in insured and self-pay patients as they seek better and faster care.